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Sunday, 20 April 2014

The Fastest $3Bn Of Indian $500 Bn Retail Industry!! But Its Still A Nascent Space Waiting To Explode...

Interesting Statistics Tells That Future Potential Lies Online Only...



India’s online retail market will expand by more than 50 percent annually for the next three years, tripling to 500 billion Indian rupees ($8 billion) by 2016, according to leading Indian research firm CRISIL.

That represents a thirty-fold expansion from the end of fiscal 2008. Still, Indian e-retail represents a tiny slice of India’s total retail market, which includes a vast informal retail sector, characterized by small and disorganized individual sellers rather than companies.




Online Retail and Organized Retail In India, CRISIL Research Feb 24 2014  CRISIL Research



India Online Retail Market 2007-2016, In Rupees, CRISIL Research Report, Feb 24 2014  CRISIL Research 


Indian e-commerce landscape



80% to 90% of Revenues shared amongst 4 majors in Online Retail of Organized Retail In India, CRISIL Research Feb 24 2014  CRISIL Research  :-
Flipkart - $1 Bn 
Snapdeal - Crossed $ 500M
Myntra & Jabong - Clocking $150 - $200M
Balance 10% to 20% contributed by approx 80 companies in this space.

For context, Amazon.com made $61 billion in global revenue in 2012 via direct and third-party sales, though Amazon.com.And two of Alibaba’s portals together handled 1.1 trillion yuan ($170 billion) in sales, more than competitors eBay and Amazon.Com combined.


The opportunity in Indian e-commerce is huge. Only 0.25 percent of India’s retail$(330 Bn)  is e-commerce, versus 4 percent in Latin America, 6 percent in China, 9 percent in the U.S. and 13 percent in South Korea. The market here could grow to $1 trillion over the next ten years, if e-commerce exists to the same level as in other emerging markets, of around 4 to 5 percent of retail.


Online retailing, both direct and through marketplaces, is expected to become a Rs 50,000 crore industry by 2016, growing at a whopping 50-55 per cent annually over the next three years,
The segment has been growing in India, with revenues surging from around Rs 1,500 crore in 2007-08 to an estimated Rs 13,900 crore in 2012-13, or a annual growth rate of 56 per cent, Crisil Research said in a report. 
Yet the sector still remains a nascent portion of the overall e-commerce segment ($ 10 Bn) in the country where the travel business dominates with about two-thirds share, it said.
However, it said, the scenerio is changing fast to pose a threat to brick-and-mortar retailers, not just of books, music and electronics, but also apparel and grocery.
"From around eight per cent share of the organised retail market in India now, online retailing will zoom to around 18 per cent by 2016. But as a proportion of overall retail, including the massive unorganised segment, it will be just over 1 per cent at the end of that year," said Rahul Prithiani, Director (Industry Research), Crisil Research.
Yet, he said, the potential is huge for example, in the US, which is the biggest market for online retail and the UK, the share of online retail is around 9-10 per cent.

Does Facebook know more than Google!!....Is Social Media A More Attractive Platform for Brands....But for What!!.....How will it be measured..ROI??


Facebook’s India user base is an attractive proposition for brands, although they’re still to figure how to get the best bang for every buck spent on the social network

MobiKwik, a Gurgaon-based start-up that offers mobile payment services, has been on Facebook for two years. About a year back MobiKwik started paid advertising on Facebook targeting Android phone users, the most popular operating system on smartphones. Besides, a lot of the new users of MobiKwik coming on Android devices were in the 25 to 30 age group, and MobiKwik found that Facebook enabled it to target ads at this group. Says Sachin Gupta, digital marketing specialist, MobiKwik: “Being on Facebook helped us drive traffic to our app and get new users.” From start-ups like MobiKwik to Pigtails and Ponys, a Bangalore-based hair accessory label, more and more brands are finding it difficult to resist the lure of the world’s largest social network in their bid to connect with customers. Facebook now boasts 100 million users, a base the likes of HDFC Bank, PepsiCo India, Lufthansa, Tata Docomo, Nokia, Vodafone, Idea Cellular and Pernod Ricard have woken up to. Around end of 2013, Samsung launched the Galaxy Note 3 on Facebook, using a different creative to target men and women. And last year, through Facebook, Nokia was able to target feature phone users for its Nokia 205 entry-level smartphone model. Last month the Nokia X (Android phone) campaign on Facebook resulted in two lakh conversations, not just creating awareness for the brand but also resulting in the Finnish handset maker getting some muchneeded consumer feedback.
    Says Kirthiga Reddy, head, Facebook India: “There are over a million advertisers globally on Facebook. We are conscious that every dollar spent on Facebook is a dollar that advertisers can spend anywhere else. Our USP is the ability to do effective and efficient targeted ads.” While companies have multiple social media platforms to advertise on, including Twitter, YouTube, LinkedIn, Google+ besides banner ads across popular websites, what makes Facebook attractive is the 100 million milestone it reached on March 31. 





    Says Kartik Jain, head of marketing, HDFC Bank: “It [the user base] reflects Facebook’s increasing role in online social chatter.” Agrees Jitender Miglani, social media analyst at Forrester Research: “100 million Facebook users are valuable for any marketer. It will attract a lot of share of internet market spending.” It is particularly valuable for those brands that are following, what Rishi Dogra, head of digital marketing at PepsiCo India calls, a “consumerled strategy”. 



 Facebook for Feedback While for start-ups the Facebook user base is a quick access to customers and, hence business growth, for large companies it’s a multi-step platform, starting with using Facebook as a listening board before any business can be transacted. Says Jain: “We use Facebook to listen to our customers, build our image and crosslink across social media platforms.” For example HDFC Bank has 90 videos on YouTube that talk about aspects of banking in simple terms (simplifying fixed deposits, mortgages and the like), which it promotes on Facebook.
Wines and spirits maker Pernod Ricard has Facebook pages to do surrogate
messaging like promoting the Blenders Pride Fashion Tour. At the other end of the spectrum, the National Skill Development Corporation (NSDC), which has a mandate to skill 150 million people by 2022, uses Facebook as a communication platform. And Pepsi has been on Facebook since 2009 and uses it to engage with brands and fans. Says Dogra: “It’s a continuous engagement model. We have created and executed campaigns including Pepsi T20 and launched our ‘Oh Yes Abhi’ positioning. The Pepsi brand page has 31 million users.”
Adds Ronita Mitra, senior vice-president, brand communication and insights, Vodafone India, which has brought back the Zoozoos for the Indian Premier League (IPL) that began on Wednesday: “We have 17.8 million fans on the Vodafone Zoozoos page. Facebook allows us high measurability and targeting and we aim to use the medium in line with its strengths.”

Facebook Knows The User 

The USP of social media and Facebook lie in their ability to know the user — age, city location, what device she is using, what she likes and so on. For instance Nokia targets the 18-24 year olds routinely with its new launches. Says Viral Oza, marketing director, Nokia India: “From a creative and engagement perspective this is our target audience. Social media and Facebook are high-involvement platforms, where youth converge. Ability to target helps get the message to right people, while scale creates the impact.” That ability to know the user enables Facebook to customize ads. For instance, Facebook has a custom audience feature, where a company’s data base of emails can be matched with those of Facebook users and messages can be sent out on the social network to the targeted user base. Another tool, generate a ‘look alike audience’, helps companies on Facebook find people with a similar profile to its existing customers.
Explains Gupta of MobiKwik: “If I want to target 25-30 year olds in Pune who drink vodka and use an Android phone, I can get such a user base from Facebook.” About 40% of MobiKwik’s ad spend is on Facebook, 10% on Twitter, 20% on banner ads across websites,
and the rest on traditional media. 





    Online marketplaces are also using Facebook to drive traffic to their sites. For example, online fashion retailer Myntra uses Facebook logout ads — the ad that a user sees on logging out from Facebook. Says Vikas Ahuja, chief marketing officer, Myntra: “Facebook can help do age segmentation — we target 18-27 year olds, as that’s the internet-savvy population and key contributor to our business. We can do gender-specific targeting and by location as well. Around 35% of our business comes from women.”
    Facebook controls the algorithm and hence has the power to target users. Says Senthil Anand, head of account management at KRDS, a Paris-headquartered social media agency: “Half of the Facebook user base comprises 18-24 year-olds and 30% are 25-34 year-olds. On Facebook, companies can target people who have their birthdays on a particular day. And videos go viral via Facebook. It gives more visibility to brands.” KRDS started operations in India three years back, in Chennai.
    A young user base is attractive not just to internet startups and brands like Nokia and Pepsi, but for brands in more traditional categories, too. Like banking, for instance. Says HDFC Bank’s Jain: “Our follower profile on Facebook is similar to the user base of Facebook — a large number are below 25 and may have just started banking. The idea is to engage with them. We use Facebook to listen to customers and build our image.”
    For a brand like HDFC, being on Facebook helps in listening to customer issues, complaints and resolving them. However if the strategy is to only target fans, then companies are really missing the point, insists Facebook. Says Reddy: “We have studies that show fans buy 1.9 times more than non-fans. But fans are a small percentage of the target audience. Fan engagement is valuable in itself, but brands can do a lot more than that.”
    Start-ups see a great return on investment (RoI) on Facebook — like MobiKwik has seen cost of cus
tomer acquisition reduce and new user sign up increase via Facebook. For the bigger companies returns are slower to come by. Says Mitra of Vodafone: “A lot of the best practices for Facebook are still evolving and that makes it challenging to put a definite RoI on our spends.” KRDS believes its early days and at present its more about engagement than RoI. 

From Users to Buyers Engaging with the user base is what attracted companies to Facebook, but now they are keen to know RoI as well. Says Jain of HDFC, “RoI on social media is tough. It started as a listening board and the next step is lead generation. Our objective this year is to look at RoI from social media.”
RoI essentially involves converting Facebook subscribers into buyers. Say for instance a bank launches a home loan product, can it sell it to users of the social network? With no easy answers on that front yet, despite their presence on social media, most brands still dedicate a bulk of their advertising budgets to traditional media. Says Jain: “As of now, 1-2% of our total marketing spend is on social media. Bulk of the spend goes into direct marketing, onground efforts and digital campaigns.”
For Pepsi, RoI is an ongoing calculation. Says Dogra: “If you create an engaged community RoI will continue to accrue over the years whereas the investment on customer [or follower] acquisition is a one-time spend.” 




 ”RoI on social media is tough. It started as a listening board and the next step is lead generation. Our
objective this year is to look at RoI from social media”
Kartik Jain,
Marketing head, HDFC Bank


Facebook argues that the platform’s ability to target ads in itself creates better RoI than on any other platform. Says Reddy: “It’s the ability to drive a message in a particular way with zero-spillage that drives RoI. We are results-focussed. We are measured on business objectives and what we deliver fuels the next stage of growth.”
In the expanding world of internet — India has over 200 million users, expected to triple by 2016 to 600 million — Facebook dominates the social media play. Most of the online population (around 84 million) uses the Net via their handsets, and these mobile users may not find the ad intrusions on Facebook a pleasurable experience. Also, when it comes to mobile internet, advertisers have Twitter, YouTube and other social media platforms to pick from. Says KRDS’ Anand: “Brands want to invest in YouTube as well. Video content grabs
better attention. That’s why Facebook now allows videos. At present YouTube is second most popular for advertisers after Facebook.”
    Adds Dogra of Pepsi: “Organic reach [on Facebook] has been consistently dropping over the past three years. While this is a function of the larger network effect, it limits the ability to sustain a continuous engagement model as reliance on paid reach increases.” Organic reach is the number of people who would see anything you post without any paid media push.
    Facebook’s 100 million users will have the brands following it, as that’s where the young consumers are. Even as companies search for RoI, Facebook will look to monetise that user base fast given that the social media platform gets just $40-50 million (according to Forrester Research) of its $7.87 billion global business from its second largest user market after the US.


Ref: An ET Article By Shelley Singh

Friday, 4 April 2014

Flipkart & Myntra on merger talks.....Does it bring synergy for both the firms!!

Flipkart & Myntra on merger talks.....Does it bring synergy for both the firms!! 

Are these mergers the only way ahead in such a nascent and evolving space!!!

Consolidation been always a speculation in Telecom, when has it creeped into this B-World!! Oops did I repeat this ....

Yes, very much dominated by Bansals (Top 4 Companies), this E-Commerce is interchangeably used with B-Commerce in this World...

Flipkart will surely offset something by adding a a brand to its stable, a category,  which is the most profitable of all and may speed up its search for some bottom line. But the poster boy of e-commerce does have it all to develop a brand of its own in this category and show its mettle & supremacy in the larger benefit of this space.

For Myntra, who have successfully established themselves as a Niche player, what value will it add if merged with a Larger Entity!! The probability for a Brand to loose its sheen and for customers an option, is pretty high. Two separate identities competing in the same space,which has so much to offer for the right players rite now for at least sometime, is  such a great situation for the larger benefit of all the stakeholders in this space.

As a consumer I do not wish to loose options, As a marketer, I do not wish to loose upon an opportunity to admire a Brand , and at last As a business professional, I do not wish to let a fear loom over all the Niche players in all the business spaces to be running only for Scales in order to avoid such merger threats.......Beware of Accelerated Tigers!!

Thursday, 3 April 2014

E-Retail In India is Graduating to Differentiation With Hons In Positioning!!

Flipkart & Snapdeal Eying Everything from Automobiles To Grocery, Fashionistas Myntra & Jabong Busy In Creating Their Niche!!

So what if its still an evolving business, Rules have started being written and Players are already busy in setting their Tactics and defining their Territories!!

Flipkart has identified an opportunity 6 years back and shown guts to build a business from scratch in a virgin territory. It really takes a lot to be a prime mover, advantages can be reaped much later and that too are not sure. As there were no peripheral services and Business Confidence to support Online-Retail Business Model, FK had to integrate across value chain to make this model a really sustainable one!! The bets paid off , hats off to their Vision and a superb execution of their smart strategy. These Bansal friends really showcased the world that what India can do without the So-Called Ecosystem for Innovations and Entrepreneurs, ` $1Bn Turnover in 6 Years` , An year faster than the Big Daddy Amazon, really made them the Darling of E-Commerce. Their Both the S are clear, Strategy & Sight, they want to sell anything and everything , wish to address all needs of an individual Indian Consumer. They have started it so wannabe Ace.....The Amazons & Alibaba`s of Indian E-Commerce Space!!

Working Visa problem for Indian professionals at US, gave birth to India`s E-Commerce Blue-Eyed Boy Snapdeal aka Kunal. Sd`s Kunal Bahl is so synonymous with the Brand, he is the CEO , he is the Brand Ambassador , he is such a dynamic leader who knows how to be innovative and successful at the same time!! With a friend who again happens to be a Bansal, he incubated an altogether different business model of E-Retail. His belief in a Marketplace Model just gave wings to this company and in just 4 years he scaled-up Snapdeal to skies. He is going to touch that $1Bn Mark in  his 5th year of operations only and creating a new record. He challenged the Inventory Business Model and re-written the Rules of Business. Now everyone is following the same. Beware!! FK , how will you differentiate....These two companies are showing the spirit of  the true competitors following each other but how will they differentiate from here onwards!!

Myntra & Jabong both have got their strategies in place, after testing waters they made a quick decision to be a Niche player. So they differentiated themselves with the established players (Sd/FK) thru their offerings. Actually they believed in Sanity of business, i.e the Bottom Line, they went after the categories which are the most profitable, The Apparels. While their counterparts`s too much involvement in Vanity, i.e the Sales Turnover(Dealing in All categories & looking for Scale) still keeping them away from profits since their inception.

Now Myntra & Jabong are trying their hands at Positioning to really take advantage of their Focused Niche Strategy. Whether its association with LFW, Iconic Designers Rohit Bal, Films like Main Tera Hero , Yeh Jawani Hai Deewani, Bhaag Milkha Bhaag and Dhoom 3 , or exclusive arrangements with World`s top  fashion brands, it is only helping Jabong to set a clear positioning for Fashion oriented consumers, its TG. Who have started perceiving Jabong as some fashion destination which they are not hesitate of trying. On the other side Myntra also want to make it clear to its TG by clearly positioning its Brand in association with Fashion Design Council Of India for WIFW. Myntra wants to be an aspiring fashion destination for fashion oriented Indian consumers and seriously trying out many options to be associated with Fashion word to portray as an adorable Apparel brand.

But are they not heading towards the same destination, the same Brand image!! It again takes us to the same question-The challenge lies that how to differentiate from here!!

Tactics like Exclusive Brand Engagements/Promotions, Same Day Delivery, Discounts are just operational measures which don't seem to give sustainable competitive advantage in long run. The market is still nascent, these tactics may work for sometime now but some real Strategy is required to be a long run WINNER!!